RJ Barrett points prop 22.5 vs BOS
RJ Barrett, F for TOR, next plays vs BOS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 22.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 22.8 points, give or take 7.7; our chance of the over 48%; our own line 22.5.
- 33.4 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Immanuel Quickley's status
- waiting on Collin Murray-Boyles's status
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Kawhi Leonard, Scottie Barnes out (shots +10%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 22.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 53%. Recent form leans under.
How he has done against 22.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 23.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 21.3
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 20.8
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 21.3
Defence vs position
BOS vs all players: tough, 104 points allowed a game, 29 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 23.2 in 5 games
- Home: over 25%, average 18.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 50%, average 23.3 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 18.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 26 in 1 game
- Rested: over 38%, average 20.9 in 8 games
- vs BOS: over 0%, average 17 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs MEM | 19 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIL | 27 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at DEN | 22 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at LAC | 26 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at LAL | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs ORL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs ORL | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at MIN | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at WAS | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHI | 20 | under |
More RJ Barrett props
- RJ Barrett rebounds (our line 5.5)
- RJ Barrett assists (our line 3.5)
- RJ Barrett threes made (our line 1.5)
- RJ Barrett pts + reb + ast (our line 31.5)
- RJ Barrett pts + reb (our line 27.5)
- RJ Barrett pts + ast (our line 25.5)
- RJ Barrett reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- RJ Barrett steals (our line 0.5)
- RJ Barrett blocks (our line 0.5)
- RJ Barrett turnovers (our line 1.5)
RJ Barrett player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is RJ Barrett's points line vs BOS?
The books' line is 22.5 points, from 5 books. We project 22.8 and give the over 48%.
How often has RJ Barrett gone over 22.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 21.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on RJ Barrett points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is BOS a good matchup for RJ Barrett?
Tough: BOS allow 104 points a game to all players, 29 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.