Spencer Jones points prop 4.5 at MEM
Spencer Jones, F for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.0 points, give or take 3.8; our chance of the over 48%; our own line 4.5.
- 19.7 minutes projected, off the bench
Our lean
No lean at 4.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 54%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 3.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 3.9
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 4.5
- This season: over in 1 of 2, average 6.5
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: neutral, 110.8 points allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 27%, average 4.3 in 11 games
- Home: over 54%, average 6.1 in 26 games
- Away: over 50%, average 5.8 in 34 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 5.8 in 34 games
- Back-to-back: over 53%, average 6.5 in 15 games
- Rested: over 51%, average 5.7 in 45 games
- vs MEM: over 50%, average 3 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 13 | over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs GSW | 0 | under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs UTA | 0 | under |
| 2026-03-25 | vs DAL | 4 | under |
| 2026-03-24 | at PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-03-22 | vs POR | 5 | over |
| 2026-03-20 | vs TOR | 0 | under |
| 2026-03-18 | at MEM | 6 | over |
| 2026-03-17 | vs PHI | 7 | over |
More Spencer Jones props
- Spencer Jones rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Spencer Jones assists (our line 0.5)
- Spencer Jones threes made (our line 0.5)
- Spencer Jones pts + reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Spencer Jones pts + reb (our line 7.5)
- Spencer Jones pts + ast (our line 4.5)
- Spencer Jones reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Spencer Jones steals (our line 0.5)
- Spencer Jones blocks (our line 0.5)
- Spencer Jones turnovers (our line 0.5)
Spencer Jones player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Spencer Jones's points line at MEM?
The books' line is 4.5 points, from 5 books. We project 5.0 and give the over 48%.
How often has Spencer Jones gone over 4.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 2 this season, averaging 3.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Spencer Jones points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Spencer Jones?
Neutral: MEM allow 110.8 points a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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