Stephen Curry threes made prop 4.5 at HOU
Stephen Curry, G for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.0 threes, give or take 2.1; our chance of the over 38%; our own line 3.5.
- 29.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 29.6 minutes (season 28.3, tonight 31.0)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
Our lean
No lean at 4.5: our chance of the under 59%, the books' 57%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 5.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 4.6
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 4.3
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 4.7
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 11.6 threes allowed a game, 25 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 5 in 4 games
- Home: over 67%, average 5.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 3.7 in 3 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 3.7 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 5 in 1 game
- Rested: over 57%, average 5 in 7 games
- vs HOU: over 50%, average 3.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs PHX | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | at LAC | 4 | under |
More Stephen Curry props
- Stephen Curry points (our line 25.5)
- Stephen Curry rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Stephen Curry assists (our line 4.5)
- Stephen Curry pts + reb + ast (our line 32.5)
- Stephen Curry pts + reb (our line 28.5)
- Stephen Curry pts + ast (our line 29.5)
- Stephen Curry reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Stephen Curry steals (our line 0.5)
- Stephen Curry blocks (our line 0.5)
- Stephen Curry turnovers (our line 2.5)
Stephen Curry player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Stephen Curry's threes made line at HOU?
The books' line is 4.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 4.0 and give the over 38%.
How often has Stephen Curry gone over 4.5 threes?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 4.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Stephen Curry threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 43% for the over.
Is HOU a good matchup for Stephen Curry?
Tough: HOU allow 11.6 threes a game to all players, 25 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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