Ty Jerome points prop 21.5 vs DEN
Ty Jerome, G for MEM, next plays vs DEN on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 21.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 24.0 points, give or take 8.6; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 23.5.
- 29.2 minutes projected, starting
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Strong lean over at 21.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 21.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 24.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 25.7
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 22.8
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 26.7
Defence vs position
DEN vs all players: neutral, 112.8 points allowed a game, 17 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 27.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 75%, average 32.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 60%, average 22.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 75%, average 32.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 15 in 1 game
- Rested: over 71%, average 25.7 in 7 games
- vs DEN: over 0%, average 20 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at TOR | 27 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs OKC | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs IND | 23 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs NOP | 40 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | at POR | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at UTA | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at SAC | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at GSW | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs UTA | 45 | over |
| 2026-03-23 | at ATL | 17 | under |
More Ty Jerome props
- Ty Jerome rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Ty Jerome assists (our line 5.5)
- Ty Jerome threes made (our line 2.5)
- Ty Jerome pts + reb + ast (our line 33.5)
- Ty Jerome pts + reb (our line 27.5)
- Ty Jerome pts + ast (our line 29.5)
- Ty Jerome reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Ty Jerome steals (our line 0.5)
- Ty Jerome blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ty Jerome turnovers (our line 2.5)
Ty Jerome player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ty Jerome's points line vs DEN?
The books' line is 21.5 points, from 5 books. We project 24.0 and give the over 58%.
How often has Ty Jerome gone over 21.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 25.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ty Jerome points?
Strong lean, over 21.5: our chance 52% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is DEN a good matchup for Ty Jerome?
Neutral: DEN allow 112.8 points a game to all players, 17 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.