Zach Edey points prop 8.5 vs DEN
Zach Edey, C for MEM, next plays vs DEN on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 10.0 points, give or take 4.8; our chance of the over 59%; our own line 9.5.
- 21.3 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.3 minutes (season 20.4, tonight 22.2)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 8.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 8.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 8.6
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 11.2
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 8.2
Defence vs position
DEN vs all players: neutral, 112.8 points allowed a game, 17 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 9.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 8.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 25%, average 8.3 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 40%, average 8.2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 4 in 1 game
- Rested: over 43%, average 9.1 in 7 games
- vs DEN: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at TOR | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs OKC | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs IND | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs NOP | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs SAC | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | at POR | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at UTA | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at GSW | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs UTA | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs POR | 12 | over |
More Zach Edey props
- Zach Edey rebounds (our line 8.5)
- Zach Edey assists (our line 0.5)
- Zach Edey threes made (our line 0.5)
- Zach Edey pts + reb + ast (our line 19.5)
- Zach Edey pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Zach Edey pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Zach Edey reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Zach Edey steals (our line 0.5)
- Zach Edey blocks (our line 1.5)
- Zach Edey turnovers (our line 1.5)
Zach Edey player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Zach Edey's points line vs DEN?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 5 books. We project 10.0 and give the over 59%.
How often has Zach Edey gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 8.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Zach Edey points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is DEN a good matchup for Zach Edey?
Neutral: DEN allow 112.8 points a game to all players, 17 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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