Aaron Ekblad assists prop 0.5 at DAL
Aaron Ekblad, D for FLA, next plays at DAL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 2 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.3 assists, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 27%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 21.6 minutes of ice time
- Top defence pair
- Opponent allows the 6th fewest expected goals
- Creates 0.4 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- On the second power-play unit, about 1:47 a game on the power play
- Faces Casey DeSmith (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 26 shots tonight, 2 fewer than usual
Our lean
Lean over at 0.5: our chance of the over 26%, the books' 24%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 0.4
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 0.3
- This season: over in 6 of 18, average 0.4
Defence vs position
DAL vs D: neutral, 1.7 assists allowed a game, 15 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 0.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 29%, average 0.3 in 7 games
- Away: over 36%, average 0.5 in 11 games
- Away (next game): over 36%, average 0.5 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 3 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 0.5 in 14 games
- vs DAL: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-10 | at CBJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at WSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs WPG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at WPG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at CHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at PIT | 0 | under |
More Aaron Ekblad props
Aaron Ekblad player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Ekblad's assists line at DAL?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 2 books. We project 0.3 and give the over 27%.
How often has Aaron Ekblad gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 18 this season, averaging 0.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Ekblad assists?
Lean, over 0.5: our chance 26% against the books' 24%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is DAL a good matchup for Aaron Ekblad?
Neutral: DAL allow 1.7 assists a game to D, 15 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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