Aaron Ekblad points prop 0.5 at DAL
Aaron Ekblad, D for FLA, next plays at DAL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.4 points, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 33%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 21.6 minutes of ice time
- Top defence pair
- Opponent allows the 6th fewest expected goals
- Takes more dangerous shots than most at his position
- On the second power-play unit, about 1:47 a game on the power play
- Faces Casey DeSmith (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 26 shots tonight, 2 fewer than usual
Our lean
Lean over at 0.5: our chance of the over 31%, the books' 29%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 0.5
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 0.4
- This season: over in 7 of 18, average 0.4
Defence vs position
DAL vs D: neutral, 2.1 points allowed a game, 20 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 0.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 43%, average 0.4 in 7 games
- Away: over 36%, average 0.5 in 11 games
- Away (next game): over 36%, average 0.5 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 0.6 in 14 games
- vs DAL: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-10 | at CBJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at WSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs WPG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at WPG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at CHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at PIT | 0 | under |
More Aaron Ekblad props
Aaron Ekblad player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Ekblad's points line at DAL?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 3 books. We project 0.4 and give the over 33%.
How often has Aaron Ekblad gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 18 this season, averaging 0.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Ekblad points?
Lean, over 0.5: our chance 31% against the books' 29%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is DAL a good matchup for Aaron Ekblad?
Neutral: DAL allow 2.1 points a game to D, 20 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.