Brady Tkachuk points prop 0.5 at DAL
Brady Tkachuk, LW for FLA, next plays at DAL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.8 points, give or take 0.9; our chance of the over 52%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 16.3 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 6th fewest expected goals
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 4:10 a game on the power play
- Faces Casey DeSmith (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 26 shots tonight, 2 fewer than usual
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 59%, the books' 59%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 1.2
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 1.2
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 1.1
- This season: over in 13 of 21, average 1.1
Defence vs position
DAL vs LW: tough, 1.3 points allowed a game, 24 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 86%, average 1.1 in 7 games
- Home: over 71%, average 1.1 in 7 games
- Away: over 57%, average 1.1 in 14 games
- Away (next game): over 57%, average 1.1 in 14 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 1.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 65%, average 1.1 in 17 games
- vs DAL: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at STL | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-12 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-10 | at CBJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at BOS | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at WSH | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs WPG | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at WPG | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at CHI | 1 | over |
More Brady Tkachuk props
Brady Tkachuk player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brady Tkachuk's points line at DAL?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 4 books. We project 0.8 and give the over 52%.
How often has Brady Tkachuk gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 13 of 21 this season, averaging 1.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brady Tkachuk points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 59% for the over.
Is DAL a good matchup for Brady Tkachuk?
Tough: DAL allow 1.3 points a game to LW, 24 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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