Brady Tkachuk shots on goal prop 3.5 at DAL
Brady Tkachuk, LW for FLA, next plays at DAL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.1 shots, give or take 1.9; our chance of the over 37%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 16.3 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 2nd fewest shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 4:10 a game on the power play
- Faces Casey DeSmith (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 26 shots tonight, 2 fewer than usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the over 39%, the books' 38%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 4.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 3.8
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 3.8
- This season: over in 10 of 21, average 3.6
Defence vs position
DAL vs LW: tough, 3.1 shots allowed a game, 31 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 57%, average 4.3 in 7 games
- Home: over 71%, average 4.3 in 7 games
- Away: over 36%, average 3.3 in 14 games
- Away (next game): over 36%, average 3.3 in 14 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 5 in 3 games
- Rested: over 47%, average 3.5 in 17 games
- vs DAL: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at STL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-12 | vs DET | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-10 | at CBJ | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at BOS | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at WSH | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs DET | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs WPG | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at WPG | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at CHI | 1 | under |
More Brady Tkachuk props
Brady Tkachuk player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brady Tkachuk's shots on goal line at DAL?
The books' line is 3.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 3.1 and give the over 37%.
How often has Brady Tkachuk gone over 3.5 shots?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 10 of 21 this season, averaging 3.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brady Tkachuk shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 38% for the over.
Is DAL a good matchup for Brady Tkachuk?
Tough: DAL allow 3.1 shots a game to LW, 31 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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