Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assists prop 0.5 at PHI
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C for EDM, next plays at PHI on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.3 assists, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 29%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 18.1 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 10th most expected goals
- Creates 0.8 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:25 a game on the power play
- Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected
Our lean
Lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 65%, the books' 63%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 0.6
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 0.5
- This season: over in 5 of 12, average 0.6
Defence vs position
PHI vs C: neutral, 1.9 assists allowed a game, 15 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 29%, average 0.4 in 7 games
- Home: over 50%, average 0.8 in 8 games
- Away: over 25%, average 0.3 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 0.3 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
- Rested: over 40%, average 0.6 in 10 games
- vs PHI: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at TOR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs ANA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at NJ | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NYI | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs CGY | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DET | 1 | over |
More Ryan Nugent-Hopkins props
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's assists line at PHI?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 0.3 and give the over 29%.
How often has Ryan Nugent-Hopkins gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 12 this season, averaging 0.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins assists?
Lean, under 0.5: our chance 65% against the books' 63%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHI a good matchup for Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
Neutral: PHI allow 1.9 assists a game to C, 15 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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