Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shots on goal prop 1.5 at PHI
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C for EDM, next plays at PHI on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.0 shots, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 1.5.
- Projected for 18.1 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 11th fewest shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:25 a game on the power play
- Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected
- His club projects for 27 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
Strong lean under at 1.5: our chance of the under 44%, the books' 40%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 1.4
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 1.7
- This season: over in 4 of 12, average 1.6
Defence vs position
PHI vs C: neutral, 9.1 shots allowed a game, 20 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 0.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 38%, average 1.9 in 8 games
- Away: over 25%, average 1 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 1 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
- Rested: over 30%, average 1.5 in 10 games
- vs PHI: over 50%, average 2.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at TOR | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYR | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs ANA | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at NJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NYI | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs CGY | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DET | 5 | over |
More Ryan Nugent-Hopkins props
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's shots on goal line at PHI?
The books' line is 1.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.0 and give the over 57%.
How often has Ryan Nugent-Hopkins gone over 1.5 shots?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 12 this season, averaging 1.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ryan Nugent-Hopkins shots on goal?
Strong lean, under 1.5: our chance 44% against the books' 40%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is PHI a good matchup for Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
Neutral: PHI allow 9.1 shots a game to C, 20 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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