William Karlsson points prop 0.5 vs VAN
William Karlsson, C for VGK, next plays vs VAN on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.6 points, give or take 0.8; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 17.4 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 2nd most expected goals
- On the second power-play unit, about 1:10 a game on the power play
- Faces Leevi Meriläinen (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 30 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
Strong lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.2
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 0.2
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 0.3
- This season: over in 6 of 21, average 0.3
Defence vs position
VAN vs C: favourable, 4.1 points allowed a game, 1 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 17%, average 0.2 in 6 games
- Home: over 36%, average 0.4 in 11 games
- Away: over 20%, average 0.2 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 36%, average 0.4 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 28%, average 0.3 in 18 games
- vs VAN: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs UTA | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BUF | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at BOS | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs OTT | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CBJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | at STL | 0 | under |
More William Karlsson props
William Karlsson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is William Karlsson's points line vs VAN?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 4 books. We project 0.6 and give the over 46%.
How often has William Karlsson gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 21 this season, averaging 0.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on William Karlsson points?
Strong lean, under 0.5: our chance 55% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is VAN a good matchup for William Karlsson?
Favourable: VAN allow 4.1 points a game to C, 1 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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