William Karlsson shots on goal prop 2.5 vs VAN
William Karlsson, C for VGK, next plays vs VAN on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.2 shots, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 38%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 17.4 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 8th most shots on goal
- On the second power-play unit, about 1:10 a game on the power play
- Faces Leevi Meriläinen (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 30 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the under 63%, the books' 62%. Recent form leans under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 1.7
- Last 20: over in 5 of 20, average 1.8
- This season: over in 5 of 21, average 1.8
Defence vs position
VAN vs C: neutral, 9.7 shots allowed a game, 12 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 2.2 in 6 games
- Home: over 27%, average 1.7 in 11 games
- Away: over 20%, average 1.8 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 27%, average 1.7 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 28%, average 1.8 in 18 games
- vs VAN: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NSH | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs UTA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at BUF | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at PIT | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs OTT | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at CBJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | at STL | 1 | under |
More William Karlsson props
William Karlsson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is William Karlsson's shots on goal line vs VAN?
The books' line is 2.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.2 and give the over 38%.
How often has William Karlsson gone over 2.5 shots?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 21 this season, averaging 1.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on William Karlsson shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 38% for the over.
Is VAN a good matchup for William Karlsson?
Neutral: VAN allow 9.7 shots a game to C, 12 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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