Zach Hyman points prop 0.5 at PHI

Our projection

Our projection: 0.6 points, give or take 0.8; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 0.5.

• Projected for 18.4 minutes of ice time
• Plays on the second line
• Opponent allows the 10th most expected goals
• Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
• Takes more dangerous shots than most at his position
• On the first power-play unit, about 2:51 a game on the power play
• Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected

Our lean

Lean under at 0.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.

Defence vs position

PHI vs LW: tough, 1.3 points allowed a game, 22 of 32.

Splits

• November: over 50%, average 0.8 in 4 games
• Home: over 25%, average 0.4 in 8 games
• Away: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
• Away (next game): over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
• Rested: over 33%, average 0.4 in 9 games
• vs PHI: over 50%, average 1 in 2 games

Game log