Aaron Gordon points prop 12.5 at MEM
Aaron Gordon, F for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 14.0 points, give or take 6.1; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 13.5.
- 27.1 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 12.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 10.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 10.7
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 12.6
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 11.2
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: neutral, 110.8 points allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 9.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 9 in 4 games
- Away: over 60%, average 13 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 13 in 5 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 10.1 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 0%, average 6 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 20 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MEM | 6 | under |
More Aaron Gordon props
- Aaron Gordon rebounds (our line 5.5)
- Aaron Gordon assists (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Gordon threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + reb + ast (our line 21.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Aaron Gordon reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aaron Gordon steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Gordon blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Gordon turnovers (our line 0.5)
Aaron Gordon player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Gordon's points line at MEM?
The books' line is 12.5 points, from 5 books. We project 14.0 and give the over 55%.
How often has Aaron Gordon gone over 12.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 10.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Gordon points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Aaron Gordon?
Neutral: MEM allow 110.8 points a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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