Aaron Gordon rebounds prop 4.5 at MEM
Aaron Gordon, F for DEN, next plays at MEM on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.4 rebounds, give or take 2.6; our chance of the over 60%; our own line 5.5.
- 27.1 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 4.5: our chance of the over 58%, the books' 58%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 4.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 4.9
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 5.0
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 5.2
Defence vs position
MEM vs all players: tough, 41.9 rebounds allowed a game, 22 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 4.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 4 in 4 games
- Away: over 80%, average 6.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 80%, average 6.2 in 5 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 5.1 in 8 games
- vs MEM: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at HOU | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at IND | 5 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs TOR | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs POR | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at NOP | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs GSW | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs NOP | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | at OKC | 6 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MEM | 2 | under |
More Aaron Gordon props
- Aaron Gordon points (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Gordon assists (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Gordon threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + reb + ast (our line 21.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Aaron Gordon pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Aaron Gordon reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aaron Gordon steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Gordon blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Gordon turnovers (our line 0.5)
Aaron Gordon player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Gordon's rebounds line at MEM?
The books' line is 4.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 5.4 and give the over 60%.
How often has Aaron Gordon gone over 4.5 rebounds?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 4.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Gordon rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 58% for the over.
Is MEM a good matchup for Aaron Gordon?
Tough: MEM allow 41.9 rebounds a game to all players, 22 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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