Aaron Wiggins points prop 12.5 at MIL
Aaron Wiggins, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.8 points, give or take 5.9; our chance of the over 43%; our own line 11.5.
- 24 minutes projected, off the bench
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 12.5: our chance of the under 52%, the books' 51%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 15.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 13.7
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 11.7
- This season: over in 8 of 13, average 14.5
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 120.2 points allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 14.2 in 6 games
- Home: over 83%, average 16.7 in 6 games
- Away: over 43%, average 12.6 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 43%, average 12.6 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 18.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 12.9 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 0%, average 5 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 12 | under |
More Aaron Wiggins props
- Aaron Wiggins rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Aaron Wiggins assists (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Wiggins threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Wiggins reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Aaron Wiggins steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Wiggins blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Wiggins turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aaron Wiggins player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Wiggins's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 12.5 points, from 3 books. We project 11.8 and give the over 43%.
How often has Aaron Wiggins gone over 12.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 8 of 13 this season, averaging 13.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Wiggins points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Aaron Wiggins?
Favourable: MIL allow 120.2 points a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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