Aaron Wiggins rebounds prop 3.5 at MIL
Aaron Wiggins, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 rebounds. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.4 rebounds, give or take 2.0; our chance of the over 44%; our own line 3.5.
- 24 minutes projected, off the bench
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 3.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 3.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 3.9
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 2.9
- This season: over in 8 of 13, average 3.7
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 48.5 rebounds allowed a game, 1 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 3.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 83%, average 4.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 43%, average 3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 43%, average 3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 5.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 56%, average 3.2 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 4 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 4 | over |
More Aaron Wiggins props
- Aaron Wiggins points (our line 11.5)
- Aaron Wiggins assists (our line 2.5)
- Aaron Wiggins threes made (our line 1.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Aaron Wiggins pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- Aaron Wiggins reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Aaron Wiggins steals (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Wiggins blocks (our line 0.5)
- Aaron Wiggins turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aaron Wiggins player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aaron Wiggins's rebounds line at MIL?
The books' line is 3.5 rebounds, from 3 books. We project 3.4 and give the over 44%.
How often has Aaron Wiggins gone over 3.5 rebounds?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 8 of 13 this season, averaging 3.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aaron Wiggins rebounds?
Lean, over 3.5: our chance 51% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Aaron Wiggins?
Favourable: MIL allow 48.5 rebounds a game to all players, 1 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.