Alperen Sengun points prop 19.5 vs GSW
Alperen Sengun, C for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 19.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 20.3 points, give or take 7.1; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 19.5.
- 33.3 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
Lean over at 19.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 19.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 18.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 21.4
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 21.4
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 21.3
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 111.2 points allowed a game, 19 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 19.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 67%, average 21.8 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 20.3 in 3 games
- Home (next game): over 67%, average 21.8 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 16.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 67%, average 22.7 in 6 games
- vs GSW: over 50%, average 20.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 20 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 17 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at ATL | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 23 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 22 | over |
More Alperen Sengun props
- Alperen Sengun rebounds (our line 8.5)
- Alperen Sengun assists (our line 6.5)
- Alperen Sengun threes made (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun pts + reb + ast (our line 35.5)
- Alperen Sengun pts + reb (our line 28.5)
- Alperen Sengun pts + ast (our line 26.5)
- Alperen Sengun reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Alperen Sengun steals (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun blocks (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun turnovers (our line 2.5)
Alperen Sengun player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Alperen Sengun's points line vs GSW?
The books' line is 19.5 points, from 5 books. We project 20.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Alperen Sengun gone over 19.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 21.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Alperen Sengun points?
Lean, over 19.5: our chance 50% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is GSW a good matchup for Alperen Sengun?
Neutral: GSW allow 111.2 points a game to all players, 19 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.