Alperen Sengun pts + reb prop 28.5 vs GSW
Alperen Sengun, C for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 28.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 29.3 p+r, give or take 8.4; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 28.5.
- 33.3 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 28.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 28.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 27.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 30.1
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 30.3
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 30.3
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 152.7 p+r allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 28.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 83%, average 31.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 28 in 3 games
- Home (next game): over 83%, average 31.5 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 26 in 2 games
- Rested: over 83%, average 31.3 in 6 games
- vs GSW: over 50%, average 27 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 31 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 29 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 25 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 38 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at ATL | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 36 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 33 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 28 | under |
More Alperen Sengun props
- Alperen Sengun points (our line 19.5)
- Alperen Sengun rebounds (our line 8.5)
- Alperen Sengun assists (our line 6.5)
- Alperen Sengun threes made (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun pts + reb + ast (our line 35.5)
- Alperen Sengun pts + ast (our line 26.5)
- Alperen Sengun reb + ast (our line 15.5)
- Alperen Sengun steals (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun blocks (our line 0.5)
- Alperen Sengun turnovers (our line 2.5)
Alperen Sengun player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Alperen Sengun's pts + reb line vs GSW?
The books' line is 28.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 29.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Alperen Sengun gone over 28.5 p+r?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 30.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Alperen Sengun pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Alperen Sengun?
Neutral: GSW allow 152.7 p+r a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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