Brayden Burries points prop 11.5 vs LAL
Brayden Burries, G for MIL, next plays vs LAL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.3 points, give or take 6.8; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 11.5.
- 23.5 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 23.5 minutes (season 21.8, tonight 25.2)
- usage up: Tyler Herro out (shots +6%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 11.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 11
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 9.6
- Last 20: over in 4 of 11, average 9.8
- This season: over in 4 of 11, average 9.8
Defence vs position
LAL vs all players: neutral, 114.4 points allowed a game, 14 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 11 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 10.8 in 6 games
- Away: over 20%, average 8.6 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 10.8 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 10 in 1 game
- Rested: over 33%, average 9.6 in 9 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | at NYK | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at BOS | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at MIN | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs CHI | 3 | under |
More Brayden Burries props
- Brayden Burries rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Brayden Burries assists (our line 2.5)
- Brayden Burries threes made (our line 1.5)
- Brayden Burries pts + reb + ast (our line 18.5)
- Brayden Burries pts + reb (our line 16.5)
- Brayden Burries pts + ast (our line 14.5)
- Brayden Burries reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Brayden Burries steals (our line 0.5)
- Brayden Burries blocks (our line 0.5)
- Brayden Burries turnovers (our line 1.5)
Brayden Burries player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brayden Burries's points line vs LAL?
The books' line is 11.5 points, from 5 books. We project 12.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Brayden Burries gone over 11.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 11 this season, averaging 9.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brayden Burries points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is LAL a good matchup for Brayden Burries?
Neutral: LAL allow 114.4 points a game to all players, 14 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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