Brayden Burries pts + ast prop 14.5 vs LAL
Brayden Burries, G for MIL, next plays vs LAL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15 p+a, give or take 7.6; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 14.5.
- 23.5 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 23.5 minutes (season 21.8, tonight 25.2)
- usage up: Tyler Herro out (shots +6%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 14.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 14.4
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 12.1
- Last 20: over in 3 of 11, average 12.1
- This season: over in 3 of 11, average 12.1
Defence vs position
LAL vs all players: neutral, 142 p+a allowed a game, 12 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 14.4 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 13.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 0%, average 10.4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 13.5 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 12 in 1 game
- Rested: over 33%, average 12.1 in 9 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | at NYK | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR | 27 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at BOS | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at MIN | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs CHI | 6 | under |
More Brayden Burries props
- Brayden Burries points (our line 11.5)
- Brayden Burries rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Brayden Burries assists (our line 2.5)
- Brayden Burries threes made (our line 1.5)
- Brayden Burries pts + reb + ast (our line 18.5)
- Brayden Burries pts + reb (our line 16.5)
- Brayden Burries reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Brayden Burries steals (our line 0.5)
- Brayden Burries blocks (our line 0.5)
- Brayden Burries turnovers (our line 1.5)
Brayden Burries player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Brayden Burries's pts + ast line vs LAL?
The books' line is 14.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 15 and give the over 49%.
How often has Brayden Burries gone over 14.5 p+a?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 11 this season, averaging 12.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Brayden Burries pts + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is LAL a good matchup for Brayden Burries?
Neutral: LAL allow 142 p+a a game to all players, 12 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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