Deni Avdija points prop 22.5 vs OKC
Deni Avdija, F for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 22.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 23.3 points, give or take 8.2; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 22.5.
- 32.5 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
Our lean
No lean at 22.5: our chance of the over 49%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 22.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 22
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 22.6
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 23.4
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 22.3
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: tough, 104.2 points allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 21.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 33%, average 19 in 3 games
- Away: over 67%, average 24 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 19 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 15 in 1 game
- Rested: over 71%, average 24 in 7 games
- vs OKC: over 33%, average 19.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs SAS | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 22 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs MEM | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 18 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 25 | over |
More Deni Avdija props
- Deni Avdija rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Deni Avdija assists (our line 6.5)
- Deni Avdija threes made (our line 1.5)
- Deni Avdija pts + reb + ast (our line 35.5)
- Deni Avdija pts + reb (our line 29.5)
- Deni Avdija pts + ast (our line 29.5)
- Deni Avdija reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Deni Avdija steals (our line 0.5)
- Deni Avdija blocks (our line 0.5)
- Deni Avdija turnovers (our line 3.5)
Deni Avdija player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Deni Avdija's points line vs OKC?
The books' line is 22.5 points, from 5 books. We project 23.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Deni Avdija gone over 22.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 22.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Deni Avdija points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is OKC a good matchup for Deni Avdija?
Tough: OKC allow 104.2 points a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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