Deni Avdija pts + ast prop 28.5 vs OKC
Deni Avdija, F for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 28.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 29.7 p+a, give or take 9.1; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 29.5.
- 32.5 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
Our lean
Lean over at 28.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 28.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 28.2
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 29.3
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 30.1
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 28.7
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: tough, 128.6 p+a allowed a game, 29 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 28.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 33%, average 23 in 3 games
- Away: over 83%, average 31.5 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 23 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 16 in 1 game
- Rested: over 86%, average 31.4 in 7 games
- vs OKC: over 33%, average 25.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs SAS | 16 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 33 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 33 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 26 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs MEM | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 32 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 32 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 22 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 35 | over |
More Deni Avdija props
- Deni Avdija points (our line 22.5)
- Deni Avdija rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Deni Avdija assists (our line 6.5)
- Deni Avdija threes made (our line 1.5)
- Deni Avdija pts + reb + ast (our line 35.5)
- Deni Avdija pts + reb (our line 29.5)
- Deni Avdija reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Deni Avdija steals (our line 0.5)
- Deni Avdija blocks (our line 0.5)
- Deni Avdija turnovers (our line 3.5)
Deni Avdija player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Deni Avdija's pts + ast line vs OKC?
The books' line is 28.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 29.7 and give the over 54%.
How often has Deni Avdija gone over 28.5 p+a?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 29.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Deni Avdija pts + ast?
Lean, over 28.5: our chance 51% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is OKC a good matchup for Deni Avdija?
Tough: OKC allow 128.6 p+a a game to all players, 29 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.