Draymond Green points prop 4.5 at HOU
Draymond Green, F for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.7 points, give or take 4.5; our chance of the over 67%; our own line 6.5.
- 25.8 minutes projected, starting
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
Our lean
No lean at 4.5: our chance of the over 47%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 0 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 3.2
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 5.7
- This season: over in 1 of 9, average 2.8
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 106.4 points allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 2.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 17%, average 2.8 in 6 games
- Away: over 0%, average 2.7 in 3 games
- Away (next game): over 0%, average 2.7 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 4 in 1 game
- Rested: over 14%, average 2.7 in 7 games
- vs HOU: over 100%, average 8.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | at SAC | 7 | over |
More Draymond Green props
- Draymond Green rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Draymond Green assists (our line 5.5)
- Draymond Green threes made (our line 0.5)
- Draymond Green pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Draymond Green pts + reb (our line 11.5)
- Draymond Green pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Draymond Green reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Draymond Green steals (our line 0.5)
- Draymond Green blocks (our line 0.5)
- Draymond Green turnovers (our line 2.5)
Draymond Green player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Draymond Green's points line at HOU?
The books' line is 4.5 points, from 5 books. We project 6.7 and give the over 67%.
How often has Draymond Green gone over 4.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 1 of 9 this season, averaging 3.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Draymond Green points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is HOU a good matchup for Draymond Green?
Tough: HOU allow 106.4 points a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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