Gui Santos points prop 7.5 at HOU
Gui Santos, F for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.1 points, give or take 5.3; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 7.5.
- 18.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 18.6 minutes (season 17.3, tonight 19.8)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean under at 7.5: our chance of the under 56%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 5
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 6.3
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 11.6
- This season: over in 2 of 8, average 6.1
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 106.4 points allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 3.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 0%, average 3.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 67%, average 10.7 in 3 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 10.7 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 7 in 1 game
- Rested: over 17%, average 5 in 6 games
- vs HOU: over 100%, average 14.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHX | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAL | 12 | over |
| 2026-04-12 | at LAC | 7 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | at SAC | 7 | under |
More Gui Santos props
- Gui Santos rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Gui Santos assists (our line 1.5)
- Gui Santos threes made (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Gui Santos pts + reb (our line 11.5)
- Gui Santos pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Gui Santos reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Gui Santos steals (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos blocks (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos turnovers (our line 1.5)
Gui Santos player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Gui Santos's points line at HOU?
The books' line is 7.5 points, from 5 books. We project 8.1 and give the over 51%.
How often has Gui Santos gone over 7.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 8 this season, averaging 6.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Gui Santos points?
Lean, under 7.5: our chance 56% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is HOU a good matchup for Gui Santos?
Tough: HOU allow 106.4 points a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.