Gui Santos rebounds prop 3.5 at HOU
Gui Santos, F for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.6 rebounds, give or take 2.4; our chance of the over 47%; our own line 3.5.
- 18.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 18.6 minutes (season 17.3, tonight 19.8)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the under 51%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 3.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 4.2
- Last 20: over in 14 of 20, average 4.5
- This season: over in 5 of 8, average 4
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 40 rebounds allowed a game, 29 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 3.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 60%, average 4 in 5 games
- Away: over 67%, average 4 in 3 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 4 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 4 in 1 game
- Rested: over 50%, average 3.8 in 6 games
- vs HOU: over 100%, average 5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHX | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at LAL | 5 | over |
| 2026-04-12 | at LAC | 7 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | at SAC | 3 | under |
More Gui Santos props
- Gui Santos points (our line 7.5)
- Gui Santos assists (our line 1.5)
- Gui Santos threes made (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Gui Santos pts + reb (our line 11.5)
- Gui Santos pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Gui Santos reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Gui Santos steals (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos blocks (our line 0.5)
- Gui Santos turnovers (our line 1.5)
Gui Santos player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Gui Santos's rebounds line at HOU?
The books' line is 3.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 3.6 and give the over 47%.
How often has Gui Santos gone over 3.5 rebounds?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 8 this season, averaging 4.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Gui Santos rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is HOU a good matchup for Gui Santos?
Tough: HOU allow 40 rebounds a game to all players, 29 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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