Jabari Smith Jr. points prop 14.5 vs GSW
Jabari Smith Jr., F for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.4 points, give or take 6.6; our chance of the over 53%; our own line 14.5.
- 34.5 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 14.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 16.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 15.7
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 17.6
- This season: over in 5 of 11, average 17
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 111.2 points allowed a game, 19 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 13.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 19.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 14.4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 19.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 22 in 2 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 14.1 in 8 games
- vs GSW: over 50%, average 13 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 11 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at ATL | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 7 | under |
More Jabari Smith Jr. props
- Jabari Smith Jr. rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. assists (our line 1.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. threes made (our line 2.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. pts + reb (our line 21.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. steals (our line 0.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. turnovers (our line 1.5)
Jabari Smith Jr. player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jabari Smith Jr.'s points line vs GSW?
The books' line is 14.5 points, from 5 books. We project 15.4 and give the over 53%.
How often has Jabari Smith Jr. gone over 14.5 points?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 11 this season, averaging 15.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jabari Smith Jr. points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Jabari Smith Jr.?
Neutral: GSW allow 111.2 points a game to all players, 19 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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