Jabari Smith Jr. pts + reb prop 21.5 vs GSW
Jabari Smith Jr., F for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 21.5 p+r. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 22.1 p+r, give or take 7.4; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 21.5.
- 34.5 minutes projected, starting
Our lean
No lean at 21.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 21.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 24.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 22.3
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 24.3
- This season: over in 6 of 11, average 23.4
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 152.7 p+r allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 21 in 4 games
- Home: over 67%, average 27 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 19.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 67%, average 27 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 29 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 20.6 in 8 games
- vs GSW: over 50%, average 23 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 24 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OKC | 39 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at ATL | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 12 | under |
More Jabari Smith Jr. props
- Jabari Smith Jr. points (our line 14.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. assists (our line 1.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. threes made (our line 2.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. steals (our line 0.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jabari Smith Jr. turnovers (our line 1.5)
Jabari Smith Jr. player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jabari Smith Jr.'s pts + reb line vs GSW?
The books' line is 21.5 p+r, from 4 books. We project 22.1 and give the over 51%.
How often has Jabari Smith Jr. gone over 21.5 p+r?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 11 this season, averaging 22.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jabari Smith Jr. pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Jabari Smith Jr.?
Neutral: GSW allow 152.7 p+r a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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