Matas Buzelis assists prop 1.5 vs SAS
Matas Buzelis, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.8 assists, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 53%; our own line 1.5.
- 25.3 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- waiting on Caleb Wilson's status
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 57%, the books' 57%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 2.2
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 2.1
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 1.9
- This season: over in 7 of 9, average 2
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 24.4 assists allowed a game, 24 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Away: over 67%, average 1.8 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 2 in 1 game
- Rested: over 86%, average 2.3 in 7 games
- vs SAS: over 100%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 0 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs ORL | 3 | over |
More Matas Buzelis props
- Matas Buzelis points (our line 13.5)
- Matas Buzelis rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Matas Buzelis threes made (our line 1.5)
- Matas Buzelis pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Matas Buzelis pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Matas Buzelis pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Matas Buzelis reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Matas Buzelis steals (our line 0.5)
- Matas Buzelis blocks (our line 0.5)
- Matas Buzelis turnovers (our line 1.5)
Matas Buzelis player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matas Buzelis's assists line vs SAS?
The books' line is 1.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 1.8 and give the over 53%.
How often has Matas Buzelis gone over 1.5 assists?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 9 this season, averaging 2.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matas Buzelis assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 57% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Matas Buzelis?
Tough: SAS allow 24.4 assists a game to all players, 24 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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