Matas Buzelis pts + reb prop 20.5 vs SAS
Matas Buzelis, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 20.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 19.3 p+r, give or take 7.7; our chance of the over 41%; our own line 18.5.
- 25.3 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- waiting on Caleb Wilson's status
Our lean
No lean at 20.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 53%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 20.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 17.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 18.4
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 22.1
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 18
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 149.7 p+r allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 16 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 24 in 3 games
- Away: over 17%, average 15 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 24 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 26 in 1 game
- Rested: over 29%, average 16.1 in 7 games
- vs SAS: over 0%, average 18 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 24 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 17 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 23 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs ORL | 22 | over |
More Matas Buzelis props
- Matas Buzelis points (our line 13.5)
- Matas Buzelis rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Matas Buzelis assists (our line 1.5)
- Matas Buzelis threes made (our line 1.5)
- Matas Buzelis pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Matas Buzelis pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Matas Buzelis reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Matas Buzelis steals (our line 0.5)
- Matas Buzelis blocks (our line 0.5)
- Matas Buzelis turnovers (our line 1.5)
Matas Buzelis player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matas Buzelis's pts + reb line vs SAS?
The books' line is 20.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 19.3 and give the over 41%.
How often has Matas Buzelis gone over 20.5 p+r?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 18.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matas Buzelis pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Matas Buzelis?
Tough: SAS allow 149.7 p+r a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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