Matisse Thybulle points prop 5.5 at MIL
Matisse Thybulle, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 5.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.6 points, give or take 4.3; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 6.5.
- 21.8 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- priced at 21.8 minutes (season 22.7, tonight 21.0)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
Our lean
Lean over at 5.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 5.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 4.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 6.8
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 7.0
- This season: over in 7 of 12, average 7
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 121.2 points allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 4.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 5.8 in 6 games
- Away: over 67%, average 8.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 8.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 9 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 6.8 in 8 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 14 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 11 | over |
More Matisse Thybulle props
- Matisse Thybulle rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Matisse Thybulle assists (our line 0.5)
- Matisse Thybulle threes made (our line 1.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + reb (our line 8.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Matisse Thybulle reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Matisse Thybulle steals (our line 1.5)
- Matisse Thybulle blocks (our line 0.5)
- Matisse Thybulle turnovers (our line 0.5)
Matisse Thybulle player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matisse Thybulle's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 5.5 points, from 5 books. We project 6.6 and give the over 56%.
How often has Matisse Thybulle gone over 5.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 12 this season, averaging 6.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matisse Thybulle points?
Lean, over 5.5: our chance 52% against the books' 50%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Matisse Thybulle?
Favourable: MIL allow 121.2 points a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.