Matisse Thybulle steals prop 1.5 at MIL
Matisse Thybulle, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.1 steals, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 61%; our own line 1.5.
- 21.8 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- priced at 21.8 minutes (season 22.7, tonight 21.0)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
Our lean
Lean over at 1.5: our chance of the over 58%, the books' 55%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 2.2
- Last 20: over in 14 of 20, average 2.1
- This season: over in 9 of 12, average 2.1
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 9.6 steals allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 83%, average 2.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 100%, average 2.8 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 2.8 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 1.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 88%, average 2.4 in 8 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 3 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 3 | over |
More Matisse Thybulle props
- Matisse Thybulle points (our line 6.5)
- Matisse Thybulle rebounds (our line 1.5)
- Matisse Thybulle assists (our line 0.5)
- Matisse Thybulle threes made (our line 1.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + reb (our line 8.5)
- Matisse Thybulle pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Matisse Thybulle reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Matisse Thybulle blocks (our line 0.5)
- Matisse Thybulle turnovers (our line 0.5)
Matisse Thybulle player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Matisse Thybulle's steals line at MIL?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 2.1 and give the over 61%.
How often has Matisse Thybulle gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 9 of 12 this season, averaging 2.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Matisse Thybulle steals?
Lean, over 1.5: our chance 58% against the books' 55%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Matisse Thybulle?
Favourable: MIL allow 9.6 steals a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.