Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists prop 2.5 at MIL
Nickeil Alexander-Walker, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 assists. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.8 assists, give or take 2.1; our chance of the over 71%; our own line 3.5.
- 31.8 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +1%, assists +4%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 2.5: our chance of the over 61%, the books' 58%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 2.2
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 2.9
- This season: over in 7 of 13, average 2.6
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 28.2 assists allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 2.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 33%, average 2.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 71%, average 3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 71%, average 3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 2 in 3 games
- Rested: over 56%, average 2.8 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 33%, average 3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 3 | over |
More Nickeil Alexander-Walker props
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker points (our line 19.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker threes made (our line 3.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker pts + reb (our line 22.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker pts + ast (our line 23.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals (our line 1.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker blocks (our line 0.5)
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker turnovers (our line 1.5)
Nickeil Alexander-Walker player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Nickeil Alexander-Walker's assists line at MIL?
The books' line is 2.5 assists, from 3 books. We project 3.8 and give the over 71%.
How often has Nickeil Alexander-Walker gone over 2.5 assists?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 13 this season, averaging 2.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists?
Lean, over 2.5: our chance 61% against the books' 58%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Nickeil Alexander-Walker?
Favourable: MIL allow 28.2 assists a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.