Onyeka Okongwu points prop 13.5 at MIL
Onyeka Okongwu, F for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 13.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 13.3 points, give or take 5.9; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 12.5.
- 28.3 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots 0%, assists +2%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 13.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 13.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 17
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 15.5
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 13.6
- This season: over in 6 of 13, average 13.9
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 120.2 points allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 83%, average 16.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 67%, average 17 in 6 games
- Away: over 29%, average 11.3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 29%, average 11.3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 17.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 13.3 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 33%, average 9.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 22 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 11 | under |
More Onyeka Okongwu props
- Onyeka Okongwu rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu assists (our line 2.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu threes made (our line 1.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + reb (our line 19.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu steals (our line 0.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu blocks (our line 0.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu turnovers (our line 1.5)
Onyeka Okongwu player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Onyeka Okongwu's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 13.5 points, from 3 books. We project 13.3 and give the over 45%.
How often has Onyeka Okongwu gone over 13.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 13 this season, averaging 15.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Onyeka Okongwu points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Onyeka Okongwu?
Favourable: MIL allow 120.2 points a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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