Onyeka Okongwu rebounds prop 7.5 at MIL
Onyeka Okongwu, F for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 rebounds. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 7.0 rebounds, give or take 3.0; our chance of the over 41%; our own line 6.5.
- 28.3 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots 0%, assists +2%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 7.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 8.6
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 8.8
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 7.7
- This season: over in 7 of 13, average 7.9
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 48.5 rebounds allowed a game, 1 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 8.8 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 7.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 57%, average 8.6 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 57%, average 8.6 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 6.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 67%, average 8.7 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 7.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 9 | over |
More Onyeka Okongwu props
- Onyeka Okongwu points (our line 12.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu assists (our line 2.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu threes made (our line 1.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + reb (our line 19.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu steals (our line 0.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu blocks (our line 0.5)
- Onyeka Okongwu turnovers (our line 1.5)
Onyeka Okongwu player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Onyeka Okongwu's rebounds line at MIL?
The books' line is 7.5 rebounds, from 3 books. We project 7.0 and give the over 41%.
How often has Onyeka Okongwu gone over 7.5 rebounds?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 13 this season, averaging 8.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Onyeka Okongwu rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Onyeka Okongwu?
Favourable: MIL allow 48.5 rebounds a game to all players, 1 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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