Robert Williams III points prop 5.5 vs OKC
Robert Williams III, C for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 5.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.7 points, give or take 4.1; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 6.5.
- 16.6 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- priced at 16.6 minutes (season 15.8, tonight 17.5)
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 5.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 5.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 7.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 7.5
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 6.7
- This season: over in 4 of 7, average 7.4
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: tough, 104.2 points allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 6.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
- Away: over 67%, average 8.3 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
- Rested: over 67%, average 8.3 in 6 games
- vs OKC: over 100%, average 7.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 6 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 13 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | at SAS | 4 | under |
More Robert Williams III props
- Robert Williams III rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Robert Williams III assists (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III threes made (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Robert Williams III pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Robert Williams III pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Robert Williams III reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Robert Williams III steals (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III blocks (our line 1.5)
- Robert Williams III turnovers (our line 0.5)
Robert Williams III player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Robert Williams III's points line vs OKC?
The books' line is 5.5 points, from 5 books. We project 6.7 and give the over 58%.
How often has Robert Williams III gone over 5.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 7 this season, averaging 7.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Robert Williams III points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is OKC a good matchup for Robert Williams III?
Tough: OKC allow 104.2 points a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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