Robert Williams III pts + reb prop 11.5 vs OKC
Robert Williams III, C for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 13.5 p+r, give or take 5.9; our chance of the over 61%; our own line 13.5.
- 16.6 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- priced at 16.6 minutes (season 15.8, tonight 17.5)
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 11.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 13.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 15
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 14.3
- This season: over in 5 of 7, average 14.3
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: tough, 149 p+r allowed a game, 27 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 13 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 12 in 1 game
- Away: over 67%, average 14.7 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 12 in 1 game
- Rested: over 67%, average 14.7 in 6 games
- vs OKC: over 100%, average 16 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 12 | over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs SAC | 16 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs LAC | 23 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | at SAS | 11 | under |
More Robert Williams III props
- Robert Williams III points (our line 6.5)
- Robert Williams III rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Robert Williams III assists (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III threes made (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Robert Williams III pts + ast (our line 7.5)
- Robert Williams III reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Robert Williams III steals (our line 0.5)
- Robert Williams III blocks (our line 1.5)
- Robert Williams III turnovers (our line 0.5)
Robert Williams III player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Robert Williams III's pts + reb line vs OKC?
The books' line is 11.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 13.5 and give the over 61%.
How often has Robert Williams III gone over 11.5 p+r?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 7 this season, averaging 15 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Robert Williams III pts + reb?
Lean, over 11.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is OKC a good matchup for Robert Williams III?
Tough: OKC allow 149 p+r a game to all players, 27 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.