T.J. McConnell assists prop 3.5 vs WAS
T.J. McConnell, G for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.6 assists, give or take 2.5; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 3.5.
- 10.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- priced at 10.7 minutes (season 9.5, tonight 11.8)
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- ice time uncertain
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the under 48%, the books' 48%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 3.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 6.4
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 5.5
- This season: over in 0 of 2, average 2
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: favourable, 27.4 assists allowed a game, 9 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 58%, average 4.2 in 12 games
- Home: over 71%, average 5.2 in 31 games
- Away: over 59%, average 4.8 in 27 games
- Home (next game): over 71%, average 5.2 in 31 games
- Back-to-back: over 80%, average 6 in 5 games
- Rested: over 64%, average 4.9 in 53 games
- vs WAS: over 67%, average 4.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 9 | over |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-03-25 | vs LAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-03-23 | at ORL | 6 | over |
| 2026-03-21 | at SAS | 8 | over |
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 10 | over |
| 2026-03-17 | at NYK | 10 | over |
| 2026-03-15 | at MIL | 11 | over |
More T.J. McConnell props
- T.J. McConnell points (our line 5.5)
- T.J. McConnell rebounds (our line 1.5)
- T.J. McConnell threes made (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + reb (our line 6.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- T.J. McConnell reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- T.J. McConnell steals (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell blocks (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell turnovers (our line 0.5)
T.J. McConnell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is T.J. McConnell's assists line vs WAS?
The books' line is 3.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 3.6 and give the over 45%.
How often has T.J. McConnell gone over 3.5 assists?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 0 of 2 this season, averaging 6.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on T.J. McConnell assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 52% for the over.
Is WAS a good matchup for T.J. McConnell?
Favourable: WAS allow 27.4 assists a game to all players, 9 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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