T.J. McConnell points prop 6.5 vs WAS
T.J. McConnell, G for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.9 points, give or take 4.3; our chance of the over 38%; our own line 5.5.
- 10.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- listed day-to-day
- priced at 10.7 minutes (season 9.5, tonight 11.8)
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
- ice time uncertain
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 6.5: our chance of the under 52%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 8.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 8.5
- Last 20: over in 14 of 20, average 8.7
- This season: over in 0 of 2, average 4
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: neutral, 113.4 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 9.3 in 12 games
- Home: over 71%, average 9.1 in 31 games
- Away: over 63%, average 9.3 in 27 games
- Home (next game): over 71%, average 9.1 in 31 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 10 in 5 games
- Rested: over 64%, average 9.1 in 53 games
- vs WAS: over 67%, average 9 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 6 | under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs MIA | 15 | over |
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-03-25 | vs LAL | 17 | over |
| 2026-03-23 | at ORL | 13 | over |
| 2026-03-21 | at SAS | 4 | under |
| 2026-03-18 | vs POR | 7 | over |
| 2026-03-17 | at NYK | 10 | over |
| 2026-03-15 | at MIL | 9 | over |
More T.J. McConnell props
- T.J. McConnell rebounds (our line 1.5)
- T.J. McConnell assists (our line 3.5)
- T.J. McConnell threes made (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + reb + ast (our line 10.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + reb (our line 6.5)
- T.J. McConnell pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- T.J. McConnell reb + ast (our line 4.5)
- T.J. McConnell steals (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell blocks (our line 0.5)
- T.J. McConnell turnovers (our line 0.5)
T.J. McConnell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is T.J. McConnell's points line vs WAS?
The books' line is 6.5 points, from 4 books. We project 5.9 and give the over 38%.
How often has T.J. McConnell gone over 6.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 0 of 2 this season, averaging 8.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on T.J. McConnell points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is WAS a good matchup for T.J. McConnell?
Neutral: WAS allow 113.4 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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