Connor McDavid assists prop 0.5 at PHI
Connor McDavid, C for EDM, next plays at PHI on Sun, Nov 15, 7:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.1 assists, give or take 1.1; our chance of the over 63%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 23.6 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 10th most expected goals
- Creates 1.4 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:32 a game on the power play
- Faces Dan Vladar (expected starter), who projects close to expected
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 68%, the books' 67%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 1.6
- Last 10: over in 9 of 10, average 1.4
- Last 20: over in 19 of 20, average 1.9
- This season: over in 20 of 21, average 1.9
Defence vs position
PHI vs C: neutral, 1.9 assists allowed a game, 15 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 86%, average 1.4 in 7 games
- Home: over 92%, average 1.8 in 12 games
- Away: over 100%, average 1.9 in 9 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 1.9 in 9 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1 in 1 game
- Rested: over 95%, average 1.9 in 19 games
- vs PHI: over 100%, average 1 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at TOR | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PHI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYR | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs VAN | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | vs ANA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at NJ | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at NYR | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs CGY | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DET | 1 | over |
More Connor McDavid props
Connor McDavid player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Connor McDavid's assists line at PHI?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 1.1 and give the over 63%.
How often has Connor McDavid gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 9 of 10 of his last 10 games and 20 of 21 this season, averaging 1.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Connor McDavid assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 67% for the over.
Is PHI a good matchup for Connor McDavid?
Neutral: PHI allow 1.9 assists a game to C, 15 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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