Mitch Marner assists prop 0.5 vs VAN
Mitch Marner, RW for VGK, next plays vs VAN on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.8 assists, give or take 0.9; our chance of the over 52%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 2nd most expected goals
- Creates 1.2 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:27 a game on the power play
- Faces Leevi Meriläinen (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 62%, the books' 62%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 1.2
- Last 10: over in 9 of 10, average 1.4
- Last 20: over in 15 of 20, average 1.1
- This season: over in 15 of 19, average 1.1
Defence vs position
VAN vs RW: favourable, 1.2 assists allowed a game, 5 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 83%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 91%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Away: over 63%, average 0.8 in 8 games
- Home (next game): over 91%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1 in 2 games
- Rested: over 81%, average 1.2 in 16 games
- vs VAN: over 25%, average 0.3 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NSH | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs UTA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BUF | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at PIT | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at BOS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs OTT | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | vs TB | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-17 | vs PIT | 2 | over |
More Mitch Marner props
Mitch Marner player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Mitch Marner's assists line vs VAN?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 0.8 and give the over 52%.
How often has Mitch Marner gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 9 of 10 of his last 10 games and 15 of 19 this season, averaging 1.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Mitch Marner assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 62% for the over.
Is VAN a good matchup for Mitch Marner?
Favourable: VAN allow 1.2 assists a game to RW, 5 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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