Mitch Marner points prop 1.5 vs VAN
Mitch Marner, RW for VGK, next plays vs VAN on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.1 points, give or take 1.1; our chance of the over 29%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 2nd most expected goals
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:27 a game on the power play
- Faces Leevi Meriläinen (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 30 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 63%, the books' 61%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 1.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 1.5
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 1.3
- This season: over in 7 of 19, average 1.3
Defence vs position
VAN vs RW: favourable, 2.2 points allowed a game, 6 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 1.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 46%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Away: over 25%, average 1 in 8 games
- Home (next game): over 46%, average 1.4 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1 in 2 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 1.4 in 16 games
- vs VAN: over 0%, average 0.5 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NSH | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs UTA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BUF | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at DET | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at PIT | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at BOS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs OTT | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | vs TB | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-17 | vs PIT | 2 | over |
More Mitch Marner props
Mitch Marner player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Mitch Marner's points line vs VAN?
The books' line is 1.5 points, from 4 books. We project 1.1 and give the over 29%.
How often has Mitch Marner gone over 1.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 19 this season, averaging 1.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Mitch Marner points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 39% for the over.
Is VAN a good matchup for Mitch Marner?
Favourable: VAN allow 2.2 points a game to RW, 6 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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