Mitch Marner shots on goal prop 2.5 vs VAN
Mitch Marner, RW for VGK, next plays vs VAN on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.3 shots, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 41%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the second line
- Opponent allows the 8th most shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:27 a game on the power play
- Faces Leevi Meriläinen (expected starter), who projects to allow more goals than expected
- His club projects for 30 shots tonight, about its usual
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the over 43%, the books' 42%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 2.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.3
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 2.4
- This season: over in 9 of 19, average 2.4
Defence vs position
VAN vs RW: favourable, 6.5 shots allowed a game, 6 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 2.3 in 6 games
- Home: over 46%, average 2.5 in 11 games
- Away: over 50%, average 2.3 in 8 games
- Home (next game): over 46%, average 2.5 in 11 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 2.3 in 16 games
- vs VAN: over 50%, average 2.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | vs NSH | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs UTA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at DET | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at PIT | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs NJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs OTT | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | vs TB | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-17 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
More Mitch Marner props
Mitch Marner player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Mitch Marner's shots on goal line vs VAN?
The books' line is 2.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.3 and give the over 41%.
How often has Mitch Marner gone over 2.5 shots?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 9 of 19 this season, averaging 2.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Mitch Marner shots on goal?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 42% for the over.
Is VAN a good matchup for Mitch Marner?
Favourable: VAN allow 6.5 shots a game to RW, 6 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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