Ajay Mitchell points prop 19.5 at POR
Ajay Mitchell, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 19.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.9 points, give or take 6.7; our chance of the over 27%; our own line 15.5.
- 26.8 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 26.8 minutes (season 25.9, tonight 27.8)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Strong lean under at 19.5: our chance of the under 57%, the books' 53%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 19.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 19.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 18.9
- Last 20: over in 5 of 20, average 14.6
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 18.9
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 113.8 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 22.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 19 in 5 games
- Away: over 60%, average 18.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 18.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 21 in 2 games
- Rested: over 57%, average 20.4 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 50%, average 18.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 35 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 23 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 18 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 4 | under |
More Ajay Mitchell props
- Ajay Mitchell rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell assists (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + ast (our line 19.5)
- Ajay Mitchell reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Ajay Mitchell steals (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ajay Mitchell turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ajay Mitchell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ajay Mitchell's points line at POR?
The books' line is 19.5 points, from 5 books. We project 15.9 and give the over 27%.
How often has Ajay Mitchell gone over 19.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 18.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ajay Mitchell points?
Strong lean, under 19.5: our chance 57% against the books' 53%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Ajay Mitchell?
Neutral: POR allow 113.8 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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