Ajay Mitchell pts + reb prop 23.5 at POR
Ajay Mitchell, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 23.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 19.4 p+r, give or take 7.4; our chance of the over 26%; our own line 18.5.
- 26.8 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 26.8 minutes (season 25.9, tonight 27.8)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Lean under at 23.5: our chance of the under 57%, the books' 54%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 23.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 23.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 22.6
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 17.8
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 22.6
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 154.9 p+r allowed a game, 18 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 26.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 22.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 60%, average 22.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 22.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 24 in 2 games
- Rested: over 71%, average 24.1 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 25%, average 22.8 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 16 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 36 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 30 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 32 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 9 | under |
More Ajay Mitchell props
- Ajay Mitchell points (our line 15.5)
- Ajay Mitchell rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell assists (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + reb + ast (our line 22.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + ast (our line 19.5)
- Ajay Mitchell reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Ajay Mitchell steals (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ajay Mitchell turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ajay Mitchell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ajay Mitchell's pts + reb line at POR?
The books' line is 23.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 19.4 and give the over 26%.
How often has Ajay Mitchell gone over 23.5 p+r?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 22.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ajay Mitchell pts + reb?
Lean, under 23.5: our chance 57% against the books' 54%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Ajay Mitchell?
Neutral: POR allow 154.9 p+r a game to all players, 18 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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