Ajay Mitchell pts + reb + ast prop 27.5 at POR
Ajay Mitchell, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 27.5 p+r+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 23.2 p+r+a, give or take 8.0; our chance of the over 28%; our own line 22.5.
- 26.8 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 26.8 minutes (season 25.9, tonight 27.8)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Strong lean under at 27.5: our chance of the under 60%, the books' 55%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 27.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 26.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 25.9
- Last 20: over in 5 of 20, average 21.1
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 25.9
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 178.7 p+r+a allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 29.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 25.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 26.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 26.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 26.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 57%, average 27.3 in 7 games
- vs POR: over 25%, average 26.5 in 4 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 16 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 41 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 34 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 26 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 36 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 37 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 15 | under |
More Ajay Mitchell props
- Ajay Mitchell points (our line 15.5)
- Ajay Mitchell rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell assists (our line 3.5)
- Ajay Mitchell threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + reb (our line 18.5)
- Ajay Mitchell pts + ast (our line 19.5)
- Ajay Mitchell reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Ajay Mitchell steals (our line 1.5)
- Ajay Mitchell blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ajay Mitchell turnovers (our line 1.5)
Ajay Mitchell player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ajay Mitchell's pts + reb + ast line at POR?
The books' line is 27.5 p+r+a, from 5 books. We project 23.2 and give the over 28%.
How often has Ajay Mitchell gone over 27.5 p+r+a?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 25.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ajay Mitchell pts + reb + ast?
Strong lean, under 27.5: our chance 60% against the books' 55%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Ajay Mitchell?
Neutral: POR allow 178.7 p+r+a a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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