Alex Caruso assists prop 2.5 at POR
Alex Caruso, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.5 assists, give or take 1.8; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 2.5.
- 20.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 20.1 minutes (season 19.1, tonight 21.0)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
Lean over at 2.5: our chance of the over 40%, the books' 38%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 3.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.5
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 2.4
- This season: over in 5 of 7, average 3.3
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 23.8 assists allowed a game, 28 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 2.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 4 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 1.5 in 2 games
- Away (next game): over 0%, average 1.5 in 2 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 3 in 2 games
- Rested: over 75%, average 4 in 4 games
- vs POR: over 50%, average 1.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-04-08 | at LAC | 0 | under |
| 2026-04-07 | at LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs UTA | 0 | under |
More Alex Caruso props
- Alex Caruso points (our line 6.5)
- Alex Caruso rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Alex Caruso threes made (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Alex Caruso reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Alex Caruso steals (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso blocks (our line 0.5)
- Alex Caruso turnovers (our line 0.5)
Alex Caruso player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Alex Caruso's assists line at POR?
The books' line is 2.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 2.5 and give the over 45%.
How often has Alex Caruso gone over 2.5 assists?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 7 this season, averaging 2.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Alex Caruso assists?
Lean, over 2.5: our chance 40% against the books' 38%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Alex Caruso?
Tough: POR allow 23.8 assists a game to all players, 28 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.