Alex Caruso rebounds prop 3.5 at POR
Alex Caruso, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.4 rebounds, give or take 2.1; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 3.5.
- 20.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 20.1 minutes (season 19.1, tonight 21.0)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 54%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 4.4
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 4.1
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 3.6
- This season: over in 5 of 7, average 4.6
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 41.1 rebounds allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 4.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 60%, average 4 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 6 in 2 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 6 in 2 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 100%, average 5.3 in 4 games
- vs POR: over 0%, average 1.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 6 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | at LAC | 4 | over |
| 2026-04-07 | at LAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs UTA | 4 | over |
More Alex Caruso props
- Alex Caruso points (our line 6.5)
- Alex Caruso assists (our line 2.5)
- Alex Caruso threes made (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Alex Caruso reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Alex Caruso steals (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso blocks (our line 0.5)
- Alex Caruso turnovers (our line 0.5)
Alex Caruso player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Alex Caruso's rebounds line at POR?
The books' line is 3.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 3.4 and give the over 42%.
How often has Alex Caruso gone over 3.5 rebounds?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 7 this season, averaging 4.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Alex Caruso rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Alex Caruso?
Tough: POR allow 41.1 rebounds a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.