Alex Caruso points prop 6.5 at POR
Alex Caruso, G for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 7.1 points, give or take 4.6; our chance of the over 50%; our own line 6.5.
- 20.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 20.1 minutes (season 19.1, tonight 21.0)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
Our lean
No lean at 6.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 6.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 6.2
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 6
- This season: over in 5 of 7, average 7
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 113.8 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 4 in 3 games
- Home: over 80%, average 7 in 5 games
- Away: over 50%, average 7 in 2 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 7 in 2 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 4.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 75%, average 7.8 in 4 games
- vs POR: over 0%, average 4 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 12 | over |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 9 | over |
| 2026-04-08 | at LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-07 | at LAL | 6 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs UTA | 5 | under |
More Alex Caruso props
- Alex Caruso rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Alex Caruso assists (our line 2.5)
- Alex Caruso threes made (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + reb (our line 9.5)
- Alex Caruso pts + ast (our line 8.5)
- Alex Caruso reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Alex Caruso steals (our line 1.5)
- Alex Caruso blocks (our line 0.5)
- Alex Caruso turnovers (our line 0.5)
Alex Caruso player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Alex Caruso's points line at POR?
The books' line is 6.5 points, from 5 books. We project 7.1 and give the over 50%.
How often has Alex Caruso gone over 6.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 7 this season, averaging 6.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Alex Caruso points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 46% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Alex Caruso?
Neutral: POR allow 113.8 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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